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Tuesday August 10, 2010

2010 Tropical weather outlook

TheDominican.net Newsdesk

tropical outlook map
Tropical weather outlook courtsey of the US NOA.

August 10, 2010;7:30 A.M.

System may develop into tropical cyclone within 48 hours

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a well defined low pressure system located about 825 miles East-Northeast of the Leeward Islands remains limited.

However, environmental conditions are expected to become marginally conducive for development of this disturbance and any significant organization of the thunderstorms could result in the formation of a tropical cyclone at any time.

There is a 70 percent chance of the disturbance developing into a tropical cyclone within 48 hours.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a non tropical low pressure system located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico about 75 miles Southeast of Naples Florida is increasing and gradually becoming better organized.

August 8, 2010;9:30 P.M.

New tropical system developing; Colin threat diminishes

The remnant of tropical depression Colin is a weak low pressure trough just to the Northwest of Bermuda. Regeneration of this disturbance is not expected and there is a very low chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone anytime soon.

A low pressure area located about 1100 miles East-Northeast of the Leeward Islands remains well defined but the associated thunderstorm activity remains limited and disorganized. There is a 70 percent chance that this system will become a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours.

A weak low pressure area centered about 150 miles east of St Augustine Florida is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the Florida peninsula and adjacent waters. There is a 10 percent that the system will develop into a tropical cyclone.

August 6, 2010;9:30 P.M.

New tropical system developing; Colin threatens Bermuda

A large area of disturbed weather is located about 700 miles West of Cape Verde and is moving steadily Westward.

There is a 40 percent chance that the system could develop into a tropical storm within 48 hours, which could threaten islands of the Lesser Antilles including Dominica.

Meanwhile, Colin has reemerged as a tropical storm and warnings has been issued by the Hurricane Center in Miami for the island of Bermuda.

The storm is currently located about 280 miles South-Southwest of Bermuda.

Miami - August 5, 2010 9:00 P.M.

Remnants of tropical storm may once again become tropical cyclone

The remnant of tropical storm Colin, a low pressure area, is located about 475 miles South of Bermuda and moving Northwestward near 20 MPH.

Satellite magery indicates that the low level circulation of the system has become better defined. There is a high chance (70 percent), of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of the system closely.

Miami - August 3, 2010 8:00 P.M.

Tropical Storm Colin poses no immediate threat to Islands

The remnants of Colin is expected to pass to the North East of the Leeward Islands as the storm moves further Northward.

Colin is however expected to weaken and should not threaten land. At 8 P.M. on Tuesday August 3, 2010, Colin was situated some 800 miles West of the Lesser Antilles.

Maximum sustained winds are still at around 40 mph but significant weakening is expected in the next couple of days.

Miami – August 3, 2010 at 7:00 A.M

Tropical storm Colin forms in the Atlantic

The US National Huricane Center based in Miami have upgraded a tropical depression brewing in the Atlantic to a tropical storm. Colin, which is approaching the southeastern Caribbean Sea from the had maximum sustained winds of 40 miles (65 kilometers) an hour.

At 6 A.M on Wednesday August 3, 2010, it was located about 945 miles east of the Lesser Antilles islands moving west-northwest at 23 mph.

Colin is the third named storm of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season. Hurricane Alex broke up after making landfall in northern Mexico just over a month ago.

“Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 36 hours or so,” the Miami center said in its bulletin as the storm travels across open waters on a track to the northeast and north of the Leeward Islands.

The system is on a likely path that will take it northeast of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, curving north and east of the Bahamas and the U.S. East coast between Bermuda later this week and early this weekend.

It is also expected to adversely affect Dominica and the other Windward islands although it is unlikely to make landfall on any of these islands, assuming it does not change its current trajectory.

Miami – August 2, 2010 2:00 P.M.
Tropical depression formed in the Atlantic

The weather system in the Atlantic has developed into a tropical depression. At 8:00 P.M. on Monday August 2, 2010 it was situated about 1265 miles East of the Lesser Antilles.

The system, which is traveling between 5 – 10 miles per hour is expected to strengthen but does not pose any immediate threat to land.The tropical wave is producing an area of cloudiness and showers over the Windward Islands.

Weather system has 90 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone

The US national weather service is reporting that a weather system situated about 950 miles West-Southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has a 90 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.

The stationary low pressure system is producing numerous showers and thunderstorms as far away as Guadeloupe in the North to Venezuela in the South. The system is expected to continue to track towards the North and West and could impact Islands of the Lesser Antilles including Dominica.

At 2 P.M. on Sunday August 1, the system appeared to be better organized and authorities expect to issue a Depression warning anytime soon.


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