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Monday August 30, 2010

2010 Tropical weather outlook

TheDominican.net Newsdesk

tropical outlook map
Tropical weather outlook courtsey of the US NOA.

August 30, 2010;9:00 P.M

Tropical storm Fiona forms as Earl bears down on the United States

Just a day after Hurricane Earl buffeted the Leeward Islands with 75 MPH winds, another system is threatening the islands.

Tropical storm Fiona packing winds of 40 MPH was located just 890 miles East Southeast of the Leeward Islands.

Forecasters expect Fiona to be near or just to the Northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands by early Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Danielle buffeted the Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico and was upgraded to a category 4 hurricane as it made its way towards the East coast of the United States.

August 30, 2010;9:00 A.M

Hurricane Earl strengthens continue to pose threat to Northern Leeward Islands

At 8:00 A.M. on Monday, the center of Hurricane Earl was located near Latitude 18.4 North Longitude 62.9 West.

Earl is moving toward the West-Northwest near 14 MPH and is expected to turn toward the Northwest by Tuesday.

On the current track the center of Earl will pass near or over the Northernmost Leeward Islands this morning and near the Virgin Islands this afternoon and this evening.

Earl is a category two hurricane with sustained winds of 110 MPH and is expected to strengthen further during the day.

Meanwhile, the area of disturbed weather making its way toward the Caribbean is becoming better organized and now has a 90 percent chance of becoming a cyclone over the next 48 hours.

Hurricane Danielle continues to pose no threat to any land mass and maximum sustained winds are now at 75 MPH. Danielle is expected to weaken further today and lose its tropical characteristics.

August 28, 2010;9:00 P.M

Residents of Leeward Islands Prepare for Hurricane Earl

Residents of the Northern Leewards are tonight bracing themselves for the onslaught of Hurricane Earl.

Forecasters predict that Earl will begin to affect the Islands from Antigua to St Marten by Sunday afternoon.

Conditions are good for a further strengthening of the storm and it is predicted that winds will top 85 MPH by the time it reaches the islands on Sunday.

At 800P.M. on Saturday, Earl was still a tropical storm with maximum sustained winds of 65 MPH.

August 28, 2010;8:00 A.M

Earl threatens Leeward as another cyclone develops in the Atlantic

The National Hurricane Center in Miami has issued a tropical storm watch for St Marten, St Barthelemy, Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St Kitts and Nevis, Anguilla, Saba and St Eustatius.

The warning was issued as Tropical storm Earl packing winds of 60 MPH approached at about 800 miles to the South of the Islands.

At 8:00 A.M. on Saturday, Earl was situated at Latitude 15.8 North Longitude 51.2 West, and could approach the Northern Leeward Islands on Sunday night. It could become a hurricane by Sunday night.

A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area generally within 48 hours. Residents of the Northern Leeward Islands should therefore exercise caution and keep a close watch on the movement of Tropical storm Earl.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Danielle packing winds of 110 MPH is expected to pass well to the East of Bermuda later today and tonight. It should not pose any further threat to land and should begin to gradually weaken by Sunday night.

A broad low pressure system associated with a vigorous tropical wave is located about 250 miles southwest of the Southernmost Cape Verde Islands.

Environmental conditions remain favorably for a tropical depression to form during the next couple of days. There is an 80 percent chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

August 27, 2010;11:00 A.M

Earl may develop into hurricane by Sunday

At 11:00 A.M. on Friday the center of Hurricane Danielle was located near latitude 26.9 North, Longitude 59.8 West. Danielle is moving toward the Northwest with maximum sustained winds of 135 MPH.

It is forecast to past well to the East of Bermuda by Saturday night and drift further into the Atlantic, not posing any threat to land.

The Centre of Tropical storm Earl was located near latitude 15.7 North Longitude 43.6 West, or about 1200 miles from the Northern Leeward Islands.

Earl is moving slowly toward the Caribbean islands with sustained winds of 45 MPH and it is expected to develop into a hurricane by Sunday. Tropical storm winds extend outward up to 85 miles.

The area of disturbed weather outside the coast of Cape Verde is becoming better organized and now has a 70 percent of chance of developing into a tropical storm within 48 hours.

August 26, 2010;2:00 P.M

Danielle could become major hurricane as two other areas of disturbed weather crowds the Atlantic

At 1100 A.M. on Thursday, Hurricane Danielle with maximum sustained winds of 105 MPH was headed North and forecasters issued a storm watch for Bermuda.

Danielle is expected to strengthen further and become a major hurricane by tonight or Friday.

Meantime, Earl, which grew out of a tropical depression that formed over the far eastern Atlantic yesterday, is about 615 miles west of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 miles per hour and the hurricane centre said Earl is forecast to become a hurricane by late Friday.

Yet a third area of disturbed weather has come out of Africa with a tropical wave centered about 450 miles Southeast of the Southern Cape Verde Islands.

This system shows signs of organization and conditions are conducive for additional development over the next two days. There is a 20 percent chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone as it works its way toward the Caribbean.

August 24, 2010;8:00 A.M

Hurricane Danielle threatens Caribbean with 100 MPH winds

At 5:00 AM on Tuesday August 24, 2010, Hurricane Danielle was located near Latitude 15.9 North, Longitude 44.6 West or 1100 miles East of the Lesser Antilles.

Danielle has been upgraded to a category two hurricane with winds approaching 100 MPH, and is forecast to strengthen significantly in the coming hours becoming a major hurricane by Wednesday.

Meanwhile, a low pressure area about 100 miles South of the Cape Verde islands is becoming better organized and may form into a tropical depression within the next 48 hours.

August 23, 2010;11:30 P.M.

Hurricane Danielle expected to become major hurricane

At 1100 P.M. on Monday August 23, 2010, hurricane Danielle with winds of 85 miles per hour was making its way towards the Caribbean.

Danielle was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 43.2 or about 800 miles from the Lesser Antilles. It is moving toward the West-Northwest near 20 MPH, and is expected to turn toward the Northwest by late Tuesday.

Additional strengthening is likely and Danielle is forecast to become a major hurricane by late Tuesday.

Meanwhile, a broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located about 350 miles Southeast of the Cape Verde islands continues to show signs of organization.

This system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves West-Northwest at about 15 MPH.

There is a 60 percent chance of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.


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